Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 7.364654 8.121350 8.929648 9.858548 10.898092 12.027325 13.349163
2025-11-23 6.184349 7.235131 8.434666 9.910640 11.685080 13.758548 16.377899
2025-11-30 5.449021 6.701978 8.215645 10.191595 12.721394 15.876342 20.147331
2025-12-07 4.758281 6.103986 7.809520 10.151734 13.318914 17.501717 23.525398
2025-12-14 4.157900 5.528401 7.338112 9.934912 13.618422 18.736447 26.527896
2025-12-21 3.738317 5.131656 7.040321 9.889917 14.112395 20.260503 30.118449
2025-12-28 3.486494 4.930134 6.976715 10.148639 15.048119 22.510339 35.094571
2026-01-04 3.258661 4.733211 6.889707 10.348343 15.899546 24.716460 40.309421
2026-01-11 3.023730 4.498543 6.716529 10.385589 16.484012 26.550816 45.158663
2026-01-18 2.789470 4.240320 6.477883 10.284718 16.817493 27.991137 49.511631
2026-01-25 2.575396 3.992848 6.230051 10.136370 17.042144 29.253736 53.706385
2026-02-01 2.390536 3.775184 6.008521 10.004746 17.271629 30.537352 58.116182
2026-02-08 2.223208 3.575849 5.805240 9.893546 17.542501 31.964491 63.121975
2026-02-15 2.082828 3.410187 5.644461 9.841419 17.916980 33.639650 68.939408
2026-02-22 2.000621 3.336644 5.635347 10.063422 18.839197 36.516715 77.874645
2026-03-01 1.881090 3.188080 5.480238 9.994267 19.176631 38.240903 84.520772
2026-03-08 1.750062 3.008842 5.254552 9.765793 19.161310 39.212084 89.563111
2026-03-15 1.655451 2.888043 5.125789 9.713512 19.503300 41.000036 96.927139
2026-03-22 1.607499 2.849146 5.146555 9.962563 20.517467 44.436875 109.172191
2026-03-29 1.555775 2.799000 5.141065 10.155713 21.430185 47.768201 121.835717
2026-04-05 1.489467 2.716067 5.064667 10.190887 21.987953 50.326375 132.900579
2026-04-12 1.413459 2.608984 4.931958 10.091471 22.220225 52.110514 142.113406
2026-04-19 1.338396 2.498724 4.784611 9.945911 22.325442 53.585745 150.723211